Brexit Clock Ticking Towards a General Election For Boris Johnson; Make a Date With Autumn Britain –BY CRIMSON TAZVINZWA
There is no time left!
There is no leg room left as well; let alone space for a toe wiggle in British politics this season. The UK destines itself out of the EU by 31 October, that is according to ’no ifs’ and ’no buts’ commitment from newly appointed Prime Minister Boris Johnson.
Britain is certainly leaving the European Union at the end of October; that we all sort of are aware of and kind of understand. The question however is whether we exit with a deal or not? That is the quagmire we are all in today and that is the problem. Parliament commences a 6 week summer recess this week and this can only mean one thing or the other and all negative; another delayed Brexit or no tangible long- term political solution, no meaningful movement towards resolving sticking issues such as the Irish border ie ‘backstop’ during the honorables’ absence from Westminster. Even if they were in session, the impasse between the majority of lawmakers and Boris Johnson’s Government and the EU on the other hand on the ‘backstop’ clause remains gigantic, it balloons everyday. Private conversations with and by politicians from both sides of the aisle reveal gaping differences and no meeting point for minds what so ever. Boris wants removal of the back-stop on the final deal which would effectively disintegrate the UNION; and according to the European Union is utterly and wholly unthinkable and a non-starter.
Is the prime minister’s mantra ‘leaving the EU on 31 October 2019 with or without a deal misguided? Unless it is a strategy set – in which Boris is silently and grudgingly gearing up for a snap election either first week of October or in November after the predictably humiliating Brexit failure that is to happen – we cannot and do not see where this is going.
The last 11 days of Boris power have revealed nothing but signals that surely we are not bolting out of the EU empty handed; instead the government is preparing for a general election, and the prime minister is looking to put in some tabula rassa, opening a brand new blank page where to do another Brexit doodle. Gone would be Theresa May’s Brexit deal.
Here is the reason;
Prime Minister Boris Johnson is already in a general election campaign mode. A raft of new policy measures in less than two weeks of his administration speak for themselves;
- Showered the NHS with a whopping £1.6 billion
- Drafted in at least 30,000 news police officers
- Cannabis could be legalised by 2022
- Pritti Patel says she wants criminal to ‘tremble’ in their gumshoes.
All this is fantastic news except it is just political signification – campaign.
Here is the thing though: Eleven days into his premiership Boris watched the pound go into a free-fall and a dreary tailspin on the financial markets, lost some notch Friday; and the bank of England forecasts not even nominal growth but a regression or recession in the next two years. There will be no growth and household incomes will drop sharply, commodities and services get more expensive. Tariffs on imports are going to be higher which means more VAT for households in Britain will see their incomes dwindle and just as Mark Carney, Bank of England Chief says in a statement; ‘the effects of a no deal Brexit will be harsh, and will be felt not only by the British people but Europeans as well and will be for lengthy period of time.’
A no-deal Brexit could cause food shortages, he has suggested, adding that job losses and business closures are also likely.
Speaking to BBC Radio 4 on Friday, the governor of the Bank of England said an abrupt Brexit would create a “logistics” headache. He noted that the government had been hiring extra customs officers and increasing capacity at ports to deal with a possible sudden switch away from tariff-free trade with the EU.
Mr Carney refused to be drawn on whether the government will manage to complete the preparations by the 31 October Brexit deadline, but hinted at consequences of failing to do so.
“The challenge is, particularly in food, it’s perishable, so you can’t stockpile today for demand in November and it’s heavily, heavily dependent on those ports being open,” he said.
A no-deal Brexit would also deliver an immediate blow to a “potentially substantial number” of companies, Mr Carney said.
The main problem with this ‘Frankenstein’s Monster’ aka Brexit – self inflicted wound, is that Boris succeeded Theresa May with no political mandate coming directly from the British people. To suggest he is a ‘sitting duck’ prime minister may not be way off the mark – may be not exact. Britain needs a properly elected prime minister wielding appropriate authority to be able decide the future of the nation; whose consequences as Mr Carney says would reverberate for generations to come. Mr Johnson knows this and also believes it is arrogant; and yet he does exactly the same thing as Gordon Brown 10 odd years ago – and his words could not have been clearer – aiming a salvo at the then incoming PM Gordon Brown the, said:
“It’s the arrogance. It is the contempt. That’s what gets me. It’s Gordon Brown’s belief that he can trample on the democratic will of the British people. It’s a moment like this that I think the political world has gone mad, and I am alone in detecting the gigantic fraud. They voted for Tony and but what they they get is Gordon. And a transition as democratically proper as a transition from Claudius to Nero. It’s a scandal. Why are we all conniving in the stitch-up? This is nothing less than a palace coup.”
It is the arrogance multiplied by 10 when it comes to Boris. And it does’t stop there; for it is the naked and wide open contempt for the British electorate. Is it now Boris’ belief that he can trample rough-shod on the public’s will, the electorate – it is disdainful to deny normal democratic process to assume it’s course; for in Boris Johnson we have got a Prime Minister with no mandate, but someone voted in by less than 90,000 Tory Party members – which amounts to a tiniewinie 0.003% of the British public vote. They voted for Theresa May in 2018 and yet they get Boris Johnson in place instead. If that is not a travesty, what is?
A no deal is catastrophic; and people will endure economic uncertainty for a very long time to come.
“In the event of no deal, the exchange rate would go down for a period of time, and the area of the economy where that instantly translates into prices is in the forecourt of the petrol station and in food and veg,” Mr Carney said
Labour is adamant no-deal out of the question.They prefer working on a real deal even if it means revoking the one left on table by Theresa May.